La Teoría de la Sincronización del Mercado y del Orden Jerárquico en Ameríca Latina

Este artículo busca determinar si la estructura de capital de las empresas latinoamericanas, en cuatro mercados emergentes: Brasil, Chile, México y Perú, se gestionan de acuerdo con la teoría de sincronización con el mercado o la teoría del orden jerárquico. El análisis se basó en una muestra no probabilística de 170 empresas, con datos anuales, de panel desbalanceado, en el periodo 2010-2018. Se aplicaron regresiones con el método de efectos fijos y aleatorios. Los resultados no muestran evidencias significativas indicando que las empresas latinoamericanas cumplan con la teoría del orden jerárquico. Asimismo, tampoco hay evidencias concluyentes de que las empresas se beneficien de los precios bajos de sus acciones para emitir capital ni de... Ver más

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Francisco Javier Vásquez Tejos, Hernan Pape Larre - 2021

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spelling La Teoría de la Sincronización del Mercado y del Orden Jerárquico en Ameríca Latina
Teoría de sincronización de mercado
Revista Finanzas y Política Económica
Universidad Católica de Colombia
Artículo de revista
Núm. 2 , Año 2021 :Vol. 13 Núm. 2 (2021)
2
13
Perú
México
Chile
Latinoamérica
Teoría de orden jerárquico
Brasil
Estructura de capital
Pape Larre, Hernan
Este artículo busca determinar si la estructura de capital de las empresas latinoamericanas, en cuatro mercados emergentes: Brasil, Chile, México y Perú, se gestionan de acuerdo con la teoría de sincronización con el mercado o la teoría del orden jerárquico. El análisis se basó en una muestra no probabilística de 170 empresas, con datos anuales, de panel desbalanceado, en el periodo 2010-2018. Se aplicaron regresiones con el método de efectos fijos y aleatorios. Los resultados no muestran evidencias significativas indicando que las empresas latinoamericanas cumplan con la teoría del orden jerárquico. Asimismo, tampoco hay evidencias concluyentes de que las empresas se beneficien de los precios bajos de sus acciones para emitir capital ni de la emisión de deuda ante altos precios accionarios bursátiles. Sí hay señales de que siguen una combinación de varias teorías, lo que indicaría características propias en la estructura de capital de las empresas latinoamericanas.
Vásquez Tejos, Francisco Javier
Modigliani, F., & Miller, M. H. (1963). Corporate income taxes and the cost of capital: a correction. The American Economic Review, 53(3), 433-443.
Lemmon, M. L., & Zender, J. F. (2010). Debt capacity and tests of capital structure theories. Ournal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 45(5), 1161-1187. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022109010000499
Huang, W., Boateng, A., & Newman, A. (2016). Capital structure of Chinese listed SMEs: an agency theory perspective. Small Business Economics, 47(2), 535-550. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-016-9729-6
Eldomiaty, T.I., Ismail, M. A. (2009). Modeling capital structure decisions in a transition market: empirical analysis of firms in Egypt. Rev Quant Finance Account, 32(3), 211-233. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-008-0091-x
Miller, M. H. (1977). Debt and taxes. The Journal of Finance, 32, 261-275. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1977.tb03267.x
Mendoza-Quintero, D., Briano-Turrent, C., & Saavedra-Garcia, M. L. (2018). Diversidad de género en posiciones estratégicas y el nivel de endeudamiento: evidencia en empresas cotizadas mexicanas. Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época, 13(4), 631-654. https://doi.org/10.21919/remef.v13i4.343
Mardones, J. G., & Cuneo, G. R. (2019). Capital structure and performance in Latin American companies. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istrazivanja , 0(0), 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2019.1697720
Mahajan, A., & Tartaroglu, S. (2008). Equity market timing and capital structure: International evidence. Journal of Banking and Finance, 32(5), 754-766. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.05.007
Komera, S., & Lukose, J. L. (2015). Capital structure choice, information asymmetry, and debt capacity: evidence from India. Journal of Economics and Finance, 39(4), 807-823. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12197-014-9285-3
Horna-Zegarra, I. E. (2020). Perspectivas del financiamiento corporativo y el mercado de valores del Perú. Revista de Ciencias de La Administración y Economía, 10(19), 135-152. https://doi.org/10.17163/ret.n19.2020.08
Kenourgios, D., Savvakis, G. A., & Papageorgiou, T. (2019). The capital structure dynamics of European listed SMEs. Journal of Small Business and Entrepreneurship, 0(0), 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1080/08276331.2019.1603946
Jahanzeb, A., Bajuri, N. H., & Karami, M. (2013). Trade-Off Theory , Pecking Order Theory and Market Timing Theory : A Comprehensive Review of Capital Structure Theories. International Journal of Management and Commerce Innovations, 1(1), 11-18.
Huang, R., & Ritter, J. R. (2009). Testing theories of capital structure and estimating the speed of adjustment. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 44(2), 237-271. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022109009090152
Espinosa, C., Maquieira, C., Vieito, J. P., & Gonzalez, M. (2012). Capital Structures in Developing Countries: The Latin American case. Investigación Económica, LXXI(May), 35-54. https://doi.org/10.22201/fe.01851667p.2012.282.37363
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2005). Financing decisions: Who issues stock? Journal of Financial Economics, 76(3), 549-582. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2004.10.003
Frank, M. Z., & Goyal, V. K. (2003). Testing the pecking order theory of capital structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 67(2), 217-248. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(02)00252-0
Hofstede, G. (2001). Culture's consequences: Comparing values, behaviors, institutions and organizations across nations. (2nd ed; Sage Publications, ed.). Thousand Oaks, CA.
Modigliani, F., & Miller, M. H. (1958). The cost of capital, corporate finance and the theory of invesment. The American Economic Review, 48(3), 261-297.
Yang, B. (2013). Dynamic capital structure with heterogeneous beliefs and market timing. Journal of Corporate Finance, 22(1), 254-277. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2013.05.003
Myers, S. C. (1977). Determinants of corporate Borrowing. Journal of FinancialEconomics, (5), 147-175. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(77)90015-0
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Myers, S. C. (1984). The Capital Structure Puzzle. Journal of Finance, (39), 575-592. https://doi.org/10.2307/2327916
Zeidan, R., Galil, K., & Shapir, O. M. (2018). Do ultimate owners follow the pecking order theory? Quarterly Review of Economics https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2747749
Zavertiaeva, M., & Nechaeva, I. (2017). Impact of Market Timing on the Capital Structure of Russian Companies. Journal of Economics and Business, 92, 10-28. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconbus.2017.04.001
Ebaid, I. E. S. (2009). The impact of capital-structure choice on firm performance: empirical evidence from Egypte. The Journal of Risk Finance., 10(5), 477-487. https://doi.org/10.1108/15265940911001385
Shyam-Sunder, L., & Stewart C. Myers. (1999). Testing static tradeoff against pecking order models of capital structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 51(2), 219-244. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(98)00051-8
Setyawan, I. R. (2015). An Empirical Study on Market Timing Theory of Capital Structure. Management Science Letters, 4(2), 2863-2868. https://doi.org/10.5267/j.msl.2012.09.025
San Martín, P., & Saona, P. (2017). Capital structure in the Chilean corporate sector: Revisiting the stylized facts. Research in International Business and Finance, 40, 163-174. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.01.004
Myers, S. C., & Majluf, N. (1984). Corporate Financing and Invesment Decisions when Firms Have Information that Investors. Journal of Financial Economics, (13), 187-221. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(84)90023-0
ElBannan, M. A. (2017). Stock market liquidity, family ownership, and capital structure choices in an emerging country. Emerging Markets Review, 33, 201-231. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2017.11.001
Arosa, C. M. V., Richie, N., & Schuhmann, P. W. (2015). The impact of culture on market timing in capital structure choices. Research in International Business and Finance, 35, 180-196. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2014.05.005
Dong, M., Loncarski, I., Horst, J., & Veld, C. (2012). What Drives Security Issuance Decisions : Market Timing , Pecking Order , or Both ? Financial Managment, (1984), 637-663. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1755-053X.2012.01213.x
https://revfinypolecon.ucatolica.edu.co/article/view/3674
This article aims to determine if the capital structure of Latin American companies in the emerging markets of Brazil, Chile, Mexico, and Peru, are managed according to the market timing theory or the pecking order theory. The analysis was based on a non-probabilistic sample of 170 companies, with annual data, from an unbalanced panel, in the period 2010-2018. Regressions were applied with the fixed and random effects method. The results do not show significant evidence indicating that Latin American companies comply with the pecking order theory. Furthermore, there is also no definitive evidence that companies benefit from low share prices to issue capital or from debt issuance in the face of high stock market prices. There are signs that they follow a blend of several theories, which would indicate their characteristics in the capital structure of Latin American companies.
Capital structure
Market timing theory
Pecking order theory
Latin america
Mexico
Perú
Brasil
Chile
Journal article
text/html
application/pdf
text/xml
Dani, A. C., Padilha, D., Santos, C. A., & Santos, P. S. A. (2016). Effect of Market Timing in the Capital Structure of Latin America. Revista de Gestão, Finanças e Contabilidade, 6(3), 143-159. https://doi.org/10.18028/2238-5320/rgfc.v6n3p143-159
Publication
Inglés
Allini, A., Rakha, S., McMillan, D. G., & Caldarelli, A. (2018). Pecking order and market timing theory in emerging markets: The case of Egyptian firms. Research in International Business and Finance, 44(February 2017), 297-308. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.07.098
Chirinko, R. S., & Singha, A. R. (2000). Testing static tradeoff against pecking order models of capital structure: a critical comment. Journal of Financial Economics, 58(3), 417-425. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(00)00078-7
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0
Francisco Javier Vásquez Tejos, Hernan Pape Larre - 2021
Chen, J. J. (2004). Determinants of Capital structure of Chinese-listed companies. Journal of Business Research, 57(12), 1341-1351. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0148-2963(03)00070-5
Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0.
Chen, D. H., Chen, C. Da, Chen, J., & Huang, Y. F. (2013). Panel data analyses of the pecking order theory and the market timing theory of capital structure in Taiwan. International Review of Economics and Finance, 27, 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2012.09.011
Booth, L., Aivazian, V., Demirguc-Kunt, A., & Maksimovic, V. (2001). Capital structures in developing countries. The Journal of Finance, 56(1), 87-130. https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00320
Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2002). Market Timing and Capital Structure. The Journal of Finance, 57(1), 1-32. https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6261.00414
Market Timing and Pecking Order Theory in Latin America
Alti, A. (2006). How Persistent Is the Impact of Market Timing on Capital Structure ? Journal of Finance, 51(4), 1681-1710. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2006.00886.x
Adair, P., & Adaskou, M. (2015). Trade-off theory vs. Pecking order theory and the determinants of corporate leverage: Evidence from a panel data analysis upon french SMEs (2002-2010). Cogent Economics and Finance, 3(1), 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2015.1006477
Almahadin, H. A., & Oroud, Y. S. (2020). Capital Structure-Firm Value Nexus: Moderating Role of Profitability. Revista Finanzas y Política Económica, 11(2), 375-386. https://doi.org/10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.2019.11.2.9
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institution UNIVERSIDAD CATÓLICA DE COLOMBIA
thumbnail https://nuevo.metarevistas.org/UNIVERSIDADCATOLICADECOLOMBIA/logo.png
country_str Colombia
collection Revista Finanzas y Política Económica
title La Teoría de la Sincronización del Mercado y del Orden Jerárquico en Ameríca Latina
spellingShingle La Teoría de la Sincronización del Mercado y del Orden Jerárquico en Ameríca Latina
Pape Larre, Hernan
Vásquez Tejos, Francisco Javier
Teoría de sincronización de mercado
Perú
México
Chile
Latinoamérica
Teoría de orden jerárquico
Brasil
Estructura de capital
Capital structure
Market timing theory
Pecking order theory
Latin america
Mexico
Perú
Brasil
Chile
title_short La Teoría de la Sincronización del Mercado y del Orden Jerárquico en Ameríca Latina
title_full La Teoría de la Sincronización del Mercado y del Orden Jerárquico en Ameríca Latina
title_fullStr La Teoría de la Sincronización del Mercado y del Orden Jerárquico en Ameríca Latina
title_full_unstemmed La Teoría de la Sincronización del Mercado y del Orden Jerárquico en Ameríca Latina
title_sort la teoría de la sincronización del mercado y del orden jerárquico en ameríca latina
title_eng Market Timing and Pecking Order Theory in Latin America
description Este artículo busca determinar si la estructura de capital de las empresas latinoamericanas, en cuatro mercados emergentes: Brasil, Chile, México y Perú, se gestionan de acuerdo con la teoría de sincronización con el mercado o la teoría del orden jerárquico. El análisis se basó en una muestra no probabilística de 170 empresas, con datos anuales, de panel desbalanceado, en el periodo 2010-2018. Se aplicaron regresiones con el método de efectos fijos y aleatorios. Los resultados no muestran evidencias significativas indicando que las empresas latinoamericanas cumplan con la teoría del orden jerárquico. Asimismo, tampoco hay evidencias concluyentes de que las empresas se beneficien de los precios bajos de sus acciones para emitir capital ni de la emisión de deuda ante altos precios accionarios bursátiles. Sí hay señales de que siguen una combinación de varias teorías, lo que indicaría características propias en la estructura de capital de las empresas latinoamericanas.
description_eng This article aims to determine if the capital structure of Latin American companies in the emerging markets of Brazil, Chile, Mexico, and Peru, are managed according to the market timing theory or the pecking order theory. The analysis was based on a non-probabilistic sample of 170 companies, with annual data, from an unbalanced panel, in the period 2010-2018. Regressions were applied with the fixed and random effects method. The results do not show significant evidence indicating that Latin American companies comply with the pecking order theory. Furthermore, there is also no definitive evidence that companies benefit from low share prices to issue capital or from debt issuance in the face of high stock market prices. There are signs that they follow a blend of several theories, which would indicate their characteristics in the capital structure of Latin American companies.
author Pape Larre, Hernan
Vásquez Tejos, Francisco Javier
author_facet Pape Larre, Hernan
Vásquez Tejos, Francisco Javier
topicspa_str_mv Teoría de sincronización de mercado
Perú
México
Chile
Latinoamérica
Teoría de orden jerárquico
Brasil
Estructura de capital
topic Teoría de sincronización de mercado
Perú
México
Chile
Latinoamérica
Teoría de orden jerárquico
Brasil
Estructura de capital
Capital structure
Market timing theory
Pecking order theory
Latin america
Mexico
Perú
Brasil
Chile
topic_facet Teoría de sincronización de mercado
Perú
México
Chile
Latinoamérica
Teoría de orden jerárquico
Brasil
Estructura de capital
Capital structure
Market timing theory
Pecking order theory
Latin america
Mexico
Perú
Brasil
Chile
citationvolume 13
citationissue 2
citationedition Núm. 2 , Año 2021 :Vol. 13 Núm. 2 (2021)
publisher Universidad Católica de Colombia
ispartofjournal Revista Finanzas y Política Económica
source https://revfinypolecon.ucatolica.edu.co/article/view/3674
language Inglés
format Article
rights http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0
Francisco Javier Vásquez Tejos, Hernan Pape Larre - 2021
Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0.
references_eng Modigliani, F., & Miller, M. H. (1963). Corporate income taxes and the cost of capital: a correction. The American Economic Review, 53(3), 433-443.
Lemmon, M. L., & Zender, J. F. (2010). Debt capacity and tests of capital structure theories. Ournal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 45(5), 1161-1187. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022109010000499
Huang, W., Boateng, A., & Newman, A. (2016). Capital structure of Chinese listed SMEs: an agency theory perspective. Small Business Economics, 47(2), 535-550. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-016-9729-6
Eldomiaty, T.I., Ismail, M. A. (2009). Modeling capital structure decisions in a transition market: empirical analysis of firms in Egypt. Rev Quant Finance Account, 32(3), 211-233. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-008-0091-x
Miller, M. H. (1977). Debt and taxes. The Journal of Finance, 32, 261-275. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1977.tb03267.x
Mendoza-Quintero, D., Briano-Turrent, C., & Saavedra-Garcia, M. L. (2018). Diversidad de género en posiciones estratégicas y el nivel de endeudamiento: evidencia en empresas cotizadas mexicanas. Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas Nueva Época, 13(4), 631-654. https://doi.org/10.21919/remef.v13i4.343
Mardones, J. G., & Cuneo, G. R. (2019). Capital structure and performance in Latin American companies. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istrazivanja , 0(0), 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2019.1697720
Mahajan, A., & Tartaroglu, S. (2008). Equity market timing and capital structure: International evidence. Journal of Banking and Finance, 32(5), 754-766. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.05.007
Komera, S., & Lukose, J. L. (2015). Capital structure choice, information asymmetry, and debt capacity: evidence from India. Journal of Economics and Finance, 39(4), 807-823. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12197-014-9285-3
Horna-Zegarra, I. E. (2020). Perspectivas del financiamiento corporativo y el mercado de valores del Perú. Revista de Ciencias de La Administración y Economía, 10(19), 135-152. https://doi.org/10.17163/ret.n19.2020.08
Kenourgios, D., Savvakis, G. A., & Papageorgiou, T. (2019). The capital structure dynamics of European listed SMEs. Journal of Small Business and Entrepreneurship, 0(0), 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1080/08276331.2019.1603946
Jahanzeb, A., Bajuri, N. H., & Karami, M. (2013). Trade-Off Theory , Pecking Order Theory and Market Timing Theory : A Comprehensive Review of Capital Structure Theories. International Journal of Management and Commerce Innovations, 1(1), 11-18.
Huang, R., & Ritter, J. R. (2009). Testing theories of capital structure and estimating the speed of adjustment. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 44(2), 237-271. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022109009090152
Espinosa, C., Maquieira, C., Vieito, J. P., & Gonzalez, M. (2012). Capital Structures in Developing Countries: The Latin American case. Investigación Económica, LXXI(May), 35-54. https://doi.org/10.22201/fe.01851667p.2012.282.37363
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2005). Financing decisions: Who issues stock? Journal of Financial Economics, 76(3), 549-582. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2004.10.003
Frank, M. Z., & Goyal, V. K. (2003). Testing the pecking order theory of capital structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 67(2), 217-248. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(02)00252-0
Hofstede, G. (2001). Culture's consequences: Comparing values, behaviors, institutions and organizations across nations. (2nd ed; Sage Publications, ed.). Thousand Oaks, CA.
Modigliani, F., & Miller, M. H. (1958). The cost of capital, corporate finance and the theory of invesment. The American Economic Review, 48(3), 261-297.
Yang, B. (2013). Dynamic capital structure with heterogeneous beliefs and market timing. Journal of Corporate Finance, 22(1), 254-277. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2013.05.003
Myers, S. C. (1977). Determinants of corporate Borrowing. Journal of FinancialEconomics, (5), 147-175. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(77)90015-0
Myers, S. C. (1984). The Capital Structure Puzzle. Journal of Finance, (39), 575-592. https://doi.org/10.2307/2327916
Zeidan, R., Galil, K., & Shapir, O. M. (2018). Do ultimate owners follow the pecking order theory? Quarterly Review of Economics https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2747749
Zavertiaeva, M., & Nechaeva, I. (2017). Impact of Market Timing on the Capital Structure of Russian Companies. Journal of Economics and Business, 92, 10-28. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconbus.2017.04.001
Ebaid, I. E. S. (2009). The impact of capital-structure choice on firm performance: empirical evidence from Egypte. The Journal of Risk Finance., 10(5), 477-487. https://doi.org/10.1108/15265940911001385
Shyam-Sunder, L., & Stewart C. Myers. (1999). Testing static tradeoff against pecking order models of capital structure. Journal of Financial Economics, 51(2), 219-244. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(98)00051-8
Setyawan, I. R. (2015). An Empirical Study on Market Timing Theory of Capital Structure. Management Science Letters, 4(2), 2863-2868. https://doi.org/10.5267/j.msl.2012.09.025
San Martín, P., & Saona, P. (2017). Capital structure in the Chilean corporate sector: Revisiting the stylized facts. Research in International Business and Finance, 40, 163-174. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.01.004
Myers, S. C., & Majluf, N. (1984). Corporate Financing and Invesment Decisions when Firms Have Information that Investors. Journal of Financial Economics, (13), 187-221. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(84)90023-0
ElBannan, M. A. (2017). Stock market liquidity, family ownership, and capital structure choices in an emerging country. Emerging Markets Review, 33, 201-231. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2017.11.001
Arosa, C. M. V., Richie, N., & Schuhmann, P. W. (2015). The impact of culture on market timing in capital structure choices. Research in International Business and Finance, 35, 180-196. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2014.05.005
Dong, M., Loncarski, I., Horst, J., & Veld, C. (2012). What Drives Security Issuance Decisions : Market Timing , Pecking Order , or Both ? Financial Managment, (1984), 637-663. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1755-053X.2012.01213.x
Dani, A. C., Padilha, D., Santos, C. A., & Santos, P. S. A. (2016). Effect of Market Timing in the Capital Structure of Latin America. Revista de Gestão, Finanças e Contabilidade, 6(3), 143-159. https://doi.org/10.18028/2238-5320/rgfc.v6n3p143-159
Allini, A., Rakha, S., McMillan, D. G., & Caldarelli, A. (2018). Pecking order and market timing theory in emerging markets: The case of Egyptian firms. Research in International Business and Finance, 44(February 2017), 297-308. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.07.098
Chirinko, R. S., & Singha, A. R. (2000). Testing static tradeoff against pecking order models of capital structure: a critical comment. Journal of Financial Economics, 58(3), 417-425. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-405X(00)00078-7
Chen, J. J. (2004). Determinants of Capital structure of Chinese-listed companies. Journal of Business Research, 57(12), 1341-1351. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0148-2963(03)00070-5
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