Convergencia económica de los Balcanes Occidentales hacia la UE-15.

El objetivo de este estudio es analizar la convergencia beta de los países de los Balcanes Occidentales hacia los Estados miembros de la UE-15 en el periodo 2004-2016 y dos subperiodos: 2004-2008 y 2009-2013. La convergencia beta se basa en la teoría del crecimiento neoclásico y pone a prueba la hipótesis de que los países pobres tienden a crecer más rápido que los países ricos, en términos per cápita. Los hallazgos empíricos apoyan la hipótesis de convergencia económica, con tasas de convergencia que van del 1.1% al 2.3%. Los resultados muestran que la reciente crisis financiera afectó negativamente el proceso de convergencia absoluta y condicional, cuando se incluyen variables económicas. La principal limitación de la investigación es la... Ver más

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spelling Convergencia económica de los Balcanes Occidentales hacia la UE-15.
Crecimiento económico
Revista Finanzas y Política Económica
Universidad Católica de Colombia
Artículo de revista
1
11
Antigos estados-menbros
Crescimento econômico
União europeia
Convergência beta
Antiguos estados miembros
Bálcãs ocidentais
Unión europea
Siljak, Dzenita
El objetivo de este estudio es analizar la convergencia beta de los países de los Balcanes Occidentales hacia los Estados miembros de la UE-15 en el periodo 2004-2016 y dos subperiodos: 2004-2008 y 2009-2013. La convergencia beta se basa en la teoría del crecimiento neoclásico y pone a prueba la hipótesis de que los países pobres tienden a crecer más rápido que los países ricos, en términos per cápita. Los hallazgos empíricos apoyan la hipótesis de convergencia económica, con tasas de convergencia que van del 1.1% al 2.3%. Los resultados muestran que la reciente crisis financiera afectó negativamente el proceso de convergencia absoluta y condicional, cuando se incluyen variables económicas. La principal limitación de la investigación es la disponibilidad de datos. 
Balcanes occidentales
Nagy, Sándor Gyula
Convergencia beta
Grela, M., Majchrowska, A., Michałek, T., Mućk, J., Staźka-Gawrysiak, A., Tchorek, G. & Wagner, M. (2017). Is Central and Eastern Europe converging towards the EU-15? Narodowy Bank Polski, Education & Publishing Department.
Eurostat. (2018). Eurostat Database, https://www.ec.europa.eu/Eurostat
European Commission. (2018). Convergence Report. Institutional Paper 078. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission. (2015). Economic Reform Programmes of Albania, The Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia, Turkey, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Kosovo: The Commission’s overview and Country assessments. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
Siljak, D. & Nagy, S. G. (2018). The effects of the crisis on the convergence process of the Western Balkan countries towards the European Union. Society and Economy, 40(1), 105-124.
International Monetary Fund. (2018). World Economic Outlook Database, https://www.imf.org
Jelnikar, E. & Murmayer, U. (2006). Convergence in Europe. Empirical Analysis on Two Groups of Countries of the European Union. Document presented at the International Conference on Human and Economic Resources, 246-260.
Joshi, B., Atoyan, R. & Roaf, M. J. (2014). Regional Economic Issues - Special Report 25 Years of Transition: Post-Communist Europe and the IMF. International Monetary Fund.
Matkowski, Z. & Próchniak, M. (2004). Economic convergence in the EU accession countries. Composite Indicators of Business Activity for Macroeconomic Analysis (‘The RIED Papers and Proceedings’, vol. 74), SGH, Warsaw, 405-425.
Micallef, B. (2017). The process of Economic Convergence in Malta and in the European Union. Central Bank of Malta Policy Note, Central Bank of Malta, Valletta. Retrieved from: https://www.centralbankmalta.org/file.aspx?f=51536
Oblath, G., Palocz, E., Popper, D. & Valentinyi, Á. (2015). Economic convergence and structural change in the new member states of the European Union. Center for Economic and Regional Studies, Hungarian Academy of Science.
Pipień, M. & Roszkowska, S. (2018). The heterogeneity of convergence in transition countries. Post- Communist Economies, 31(1), 1-31. https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2018.1443245
Podkaminer, L. (2013). Development Patterns of Central and East European Countries (in the course of transition and following EU accession). Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies.
El Ouardighi, J. & Somun-Kapetanovic, R. (2007). Do Balkan Countries Have a European Future? An Analysis of Real Economic Convergence, 1989-2005. South East European Journal of Economics and Business, 2(2), 23-30. https://doi.org/10.2478/v10033-007-0002-4
Sala-i-Martin, X. (1994). Cross-sectional regressions and the empirics of economic growth. European Economic Review, 38(3-4), 739-747. https://doi.org/10.1016/0014-2921(94)90109-0
http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
Solow, R. M. (1956). A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70, 65-94. https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513
Strielkowski, W. & Höschle, F. (2016). Evidence for economic convergence in the EU: The analysis of past EU enlargements. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 22(4), 617-630. https://doi.org/10.3846/20294913.2014.890138
Tsanana, E., Katrakilidis, C. & Pantelidis, P. (2013). Balkan area and EU-15: An empirical investigation of income convergence. In Balkan and Eastern European Countries in the Midst of the Global Economic Crisis, Physica-Heidelberg, 23-33. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7908-2873-3_2
Vojinović, B., Acharya, S. & Próchniak, M. (2009). Convergence analysis among the ten European tran- sition economies. Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, 50(2), 123-141.
World Bank. (2018). World Development Indicators Database, https://www.databank.worldbank.org
Źuk, P., Polgar, E.K., Savelin, L., Diaz del Hoyo, J.L. & König, P. (2018). Real convergence in central, eastern and south-eastern Europe. ECB Economic Bulletin, Issue 3/2018
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
Chapsa, X., Tsanana, E. & Katrakilidis, C. (2015). Growth and Convergence in the EU-15: More Evidence from the Cohesion Countries. Procedia Economics and Finance, 33, 55-63. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2212-5671(15)01693-7
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Colak, O. (2015). Convergence Revisited: Case of EU and Eastern Europe. Regional Science Inquiry, 7(1), 69-81.
Alcidi, C., Núñez Ferrer, J., Di Salvo, M., Pilati, M. & Musmeci, R. (2018). Income Convergence in the EU: A tale of two speeds. CEPS Commentary, 9 January 2018.
Botrić, V. (2013). Output Convergence between Western Balkans and EU-15. Research in Economics and Business: Central and Eastern Europe, 5(1), 46-62.
https://revfinypolecon.ucatolica.edu.co/article/view/2873
This paper aims to analyze the beta convergence of Western Balkan countries towards the EU-15 Member States in the period 2004-2016, and two sub-periods: 2004-2008 and 2009-2013. Beta convergence is based on the neoclassical growth theory and tests the hypothesis that poor countries tend to grow faster than rich countries, in per capita terms. The empirical findings support the economic convergence hypothesis, with convergence rates ranging from 1.1% to 2.3%. The results show that the recent financial crisis negatively affected the absolute and conditional convergence process, when economic variables are included. The main limitation of the research is the availability of data.
Western balkans
European union
Economic growth
Old member states
Beta convergence
Journal article
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Borys, M. M., Polgár, È. K. & Zlate, A. (2008). Real convergence and the determinants of growth in EU candidate and potential candidate countries. A panel data approach. European Central Bank.
Publication
Inglés
Bićanić, I., Deskar-Škrbić, M. & Zrnc, J. (2016). A Narrative Explanation of Breakpoints and Convergence Patterns in Yugoslavia and its Successor States 1952-2015. The wiiw Balkan Observatory Working Papers 122.
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0
Sándor Gyula Nagy, Dzenita Siljak - 2019
Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0.
Berend, I. T. (2016). An economic history of twentieth-century Europe: Economic regimes from laissez- faire to globalization. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316479889
Benczes, I. & Szent-Ivanyi, B. (2015). The European economy in 2014: Fragile recovery and convergen- ce. JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies, 53, 162-180. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.12266
Barro, R. J. & Sala-i-Martin, X. (1992). Convergence. Journal of Political Economy, 100(2), 223-251. https://doi.org/10.1086/261816
Barro, R. J. (1991). Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 407-443. https://doi.org/10.2307/2937943
Economic convergence of the Western Balkans towards the EU-15.
https://doi.org/10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.2019.11.1.3
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https://revfinypolecon.ucatolica.edu.co/article/download/2873/4773
2019-01-01T00:00:00Z
2019-01-01T00:00:00Z
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collection Revista Finanzas y Política Económica
title Convergencia económica de los Balcanes Occidentales hacia la UE-15.
spellingShingle Convergencia económica de los Balcanes Occidentales hacia la UE-15.
Siljak, Dzenita
Nagy, Sándor Gyula
Crecimiento económico
Antigos estados-menbros
Crescimento econômico
União europeia
Convergência beta
Antiguos estados miembros
Bálcãs ocidentais
Unión europea
Balcanes occidentales
Convergencia beta
Western balkans
European union
Economic growth
Old member states
Beta convergence
title_short Convergencia económica de los Balcanes Occidentales hacia la UE-15.
title_full Convergencia económica de los Balcanes Occidentales hacia la UE-15.
title_fullStr Convergencia económica de los Balcanes Occidentales hacia la UE-15.
title_full_unstemmed Convergencia económica de los Balcanes Occidentales hacia la UE-15.
title_sort convergencia económica de los balcanes occidentales hacia la ue-15.
title_eng Economic convergence of the Western Balkans towards the EU-15.
description El objetivo de este estudio es analizar la convergencia beta de los países de los Balcanes Occidentales hacia los Estados miembros de la UE-15 en el periodo 2004-2016 y dos subperiodos: 2004-2008 y 2009-2013. La convergencia beta se basa en la teoría del crecimiento neoclásico y pone a prueba la hipótesis de que los países pobres tienden a crecer más rápido que los países ricos, en términos per cápita. Los hallazgos empíricos apoyan la hipótesis de convergencia económica, con tasas de convergencia que van del 1.1% al 2.3%. Los resultados muestran que la reciente crisis financiera afectó negativamente el proceso de convergencia absoluta y condicional, cuando se incluyen variables económicas. La principal limitación de la investigación es la disponibilidad de datos. 
description_eng This paper aims to analyze the beta convergence of Western Balkan countries towards the EU-15 Member States in the period 2004-2016, and two sub-periods: 2004-2008 and 2009-2013. Beta convergence is based on the neoclassical growth theory and tests the hypothesis that poor countries tend to grow faster than rich countries, in per capita terms. The empirical findings support the economic convergence hypothesis, with convergence rates ranging from 1.1% to 2.3%. The results show that the recent financial crisis negatively affected the absolute and conditional convergence process, when economic variables are included. The main limitation of the research is the availability of data.
author Siljak, Dzenita
Nagy, Sándor Gyula
author_facet Siljak, Dzenita
Nagy, Sándor Gyula
topicspa_str_mv Crecimiento económico
Antigos estados-menbros
Crescimento econômico
União europeia
Convergência beta
Antiguos estados miembros
Bálcãs ocidentais
Unión europea
Balcanes occidentales
Convergencia beta
topic Crecimiento económico
Antigos estados-menbros
Crescimento econômico
União europeia
Convergência beta
Antiguos estados miembros
Bálcãs ocidentais
Unión europea
Balcanes occidentales
Convergencia beta
Western balkans
European union
Economic growth
Old member states
Beta convergence
topic_facet Crecimiento económico
Antigos estados-menbros
Crescimento econômico
União europeia
Convergência beta
Antiguos estados miembros
Bálcãs ocidentais
Unión europea
Balcanes occidentales
Convergencia beta
Western balkans
European union
Economic growth
Old member states
Beta convergence
citationvolume 11
citationissue 1
publisher Universidad Católica de Colombia
ispartofjournal Revista Finanzas y Política Económica
source https://revfinypolecon.ucatolica.edu.co/article/view/2873
language Inglés
format Article
rights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0
Sándor Gyula Nagy, Dzenita Siljak - 2019
Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0.
references_eng Grela, M., Majchrowska, A., Michałek, T., Mućk, J., Staźka-Gawrysiak, A., Tchorek, G. & Wagner, M. (2017). Is Central and Eastern Europe converging towards the EU-15? Narodowy Bank Polski, Education & Publishing Department.
Eurostat. (2018). Eurostat Database, https://www.ec.europa.eu/Eurostat
European Commission. (2018). Convergence Report. Institutional Paper 078. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission. (2015). Economic Reform Programmes of Albania, The Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia, Turkey, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Kosovo: The Commission’s overview and Country assessments. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
Siljak, D. & Nagy, S. G. (2018). The effects of the crisis on the convergence process of the Western Balkan countries towards the European Union. Society and Economy, 40(1), 105-124.
International Monetary Fund. (2018). World Economic Outlook Database, https://www.imf.org
Jelnikar, E. & Murmayer, U. (2006). Convergence in Europe. Empirical Analysis on Two Groups of Countries of the European Union. Document presented at the International Conference on Human and Economic Resources, 246-260.
Joshi, B., Atoyan, R. & Roaf, M. J. (2014). Regional Economic Issues - Special Report 25 Years of Transition: Post-Communist Europe and the IMF. International Monetary Fund.
Matkowski, Z. & Próchniak, M. (2004). Economic convergence in the EU accession countries. Composite Indicators of Business Activity for Macroeconomic Analysis (‘The RIED Papers and Proceedings’, vol. 74), SGH, Warsaw, 405-425.
Micallef, B. (2017). The process of Economic Convergence in Malta and in the European Union. Central Bank of Malta Policy Note, Central Bank of Malta, Valletta. Retrieved from: https://www.centralbankmalta.org/file.aspx?f=51536
Oblath, G., Palocz, E., Popper, D. & Valentinyi, Á. (2015). Economic convergence and structural change in the new member states of the European Union. Center for Economic and Regional Studies, Hungarian Academy of Science.
Pipień, M. & Roszkowska, S. (2018). The heterogeneity of convergence in transition countries. Post- Communist Economies, 31(1), 1-31. https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2018.1443245
Podkaminer, L. (2013). Development Patterns of Central and East European Countries (in the course of transition and following EU accession). Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies.
El Ouardighi, J. & Somun-Kapetanovic, R. (2007). Do Balkan Countries Have a European Future? An Analysis of Real Economic Convergence, 1989-2005. South East European Journal of Economics and Business, 2(2), 23-30. https://doi.org/10.2478/v10033-007-0002-4
Sala-i-Martin, X. (1994). Cross-sectional regressions and the empirics of economic growth. European Economic Review, 38(3-4), 739-747. https://doi.org/10.1016/0014-2921(94)90109-0
Solow, R. M. (1956). A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70, 65-94. https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513
Strielkowski, W. & Höschle, F. (2016). Evidence for economic convergence in the EU: The analysis of past EU enlargements. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 22(4), 617-630. https://doi.org/10.3846/20294913.2014.890138
Tsanana, E., Katrakilidis, C. & Pantelidis, P. (2013). Balkan area and EU-15: An empirical investigation of income convergence. In Balkan and Eastern European Countries in the Midst of the Global Economic Crisis, Physica-Heidelberg, 23-33. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-7908-2873-3_2
Vojinović, B., Acharya, S. & Próchniak, M. (2009). Convergence analysis among the ten European tran- sition economies. Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, 50(2), 123-141.
World Bank. (2018). World Development Indicators Database, https://www.databank.worldbank.org
Źuk, P., Polgar, E.K., Savelin, L., Diaz del Hoyo, J.L. & König, P. (2018). Real convergence in central, eastern and south-eastern Europe. ECB Economic Bulletin, Issue 3/2018
Chapsa, X., Tsanana, E. & Katrakilidis, C. (2015). Growth and Convergence in the EU-15: More Evidence from the Cohesion Countries. Procedia Economics and Finance, 33, 55-63. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2212-5671(15)01693-7
Colak, O. (2015). Convergence Revisited: Case of EU and Eastern Europe. Regional Science Inquiry, 7(1), 69-81.
Alcidi, C., Núñez Ferrer, J., Di Salvo, M., Pilati, M. & Musmeci, R. (2018). Income Convergence in the EU: A tale of two speeds. CEPS Commentary, 9 January 2018.
Botrić, V. (2013). Output Convergence between Western Balkans and EU-15. Research in Economics and Business: Central and Eastern Europe, 5(1), 46-62.
Borys, M. M., Polgár, È. K. & Zlate, A. (2008). Real convergence and the determinants of growth in EU candidate and potential candidate countries. A panel data approach. European Central Bank.
Bićanić, I., Deskar-Škrbić, M. & Zrnc, J. (2016). A Narrative Explanation of Breakpoints and Convergence Patterns in Yugoslavia and its Successor States 1952-2015. The wiiw Balkan Observatory Working Papers 122.
Berend, I. T. (2016). An economic history of twentieth-century Europe: Economic regimes from laissez- faire to globalization. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781316479889
Benczes, I. & Szent-Ivanyi, B. (2015). The European economy in 2014: Fragile recovery and convergen- ce. JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies, 53, 162-180. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.12266
Barro, R. J. & Sala-i-Martin, X. (1992). Convergence. Journal of Political Economy, 100(2), 223-251. https://doi.org/10.1086/261816
Barro, R. J. (1991). Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 407-443. https://doi.org/10.2307/2937943
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